So we've got through our hard start with 6 points out of 9. Very good start for us. We now have a run of 'easier' games in September and October. From those 6 games I think we need a minimum of 13-14 points:
Villa (H)
West Ham (A)
Everton (H)
West Brom (H)
QPR (A)
Hull (A)
Looking at them though, I can't see any reason we can't go on a run and win them all. Everton are the trickiest, and they've been very poor so far this season and it's at Anfield, so I think we'd be strong favourite to win that one.
Win them all and I think we'll be top as Chelsea have to go to City and play Arsenal, so should drop some points